Sunday, August 11, 2013

Ackman asks J.C. Penney to replace CEO Ullman

 

  • 30-year loan edged up to 4.40 percent, says Freddie Mac

     

    Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac has said on Thursday that the 30-year
    mortgage rate increased to 4.40 per cent from 4.39 per cent in the
    previous week, indicating some stability in the market ahead of the
    proposed liquidation by the government of two major mortgage firms.
    The average interest on the 15-year fixed loan was unchanged at 3.43
    per cent. Experts have said that if the plans to liquidate
    government-controlled mortgage guarantee giants, Fannie Mae and Freddie
    Mac are implemented, and the mortgage rates are expected to up in the
    US economy. US President Barak Obama is working on measures to ensure
    that the 30-year mortgages are widely accessible to the US public,
    which is not generally available in other countries.
    A group of senators in the US congress are set to complete a plan to
    liquidate Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC) and replace the failed bank
    with a government reinsurer of mortgage securities with private
    capital. The two firms, which were rescued by a $187 billion taxpayer
    bailout during the financial crisis, now guarantee 30-year mortgages
    for generations. Most banks appear unwilling to offer loans for such
    duration without any backing from the government.
    The new plan would require private financiers to accept first-loss
    position for covering steep losses, according to the draft of the plan.
    The senators are planning to introduce the plan within this month for
    the plan to be implemented soon.




    Friday, August 9, 2013

    It’s been awhile since I was able to say this: The Australian dollar was the best performer this week

    by 

    AUD/USD longs were the best trade this week, gaining 3% or 291 pips. It was impressive gain after months of declines but it still wasn’t enough to wipe out the losses last week.

    Technical analysis for NZD/USD on 09.08.13

    AUTHOR: 




    The NZD/USD continues to rise after crossing a strong resistance level of 0.8000.







    Direction
    Period
    Expected price dynamics
    Price movement corridor
    ↑↓
    1 day
    ≈105 pips
    Max. 0.8160
    Min. 0.7860
    NZD/USD technical analysis for 09.08.13
    If the price holds above 0.8000, the uptrend is likely to continue its move up with a target set at a strong resistance level of 0.8105.
    Alternative forecast
    NZD/USD technical analysis for 09.08.13
    Should the price breach the support level of 0.8000, this may start a short-term correction, which will be possible after the pair forms a reversal at around 0.8000. In this case, a potential target for the bearish move will be set at 0.7910 – 0.7910.

    Technical analysis for USD/JPY on 09.08.13

    AUTHOR: 




    A quick fall of the dollar against the Japanese yen graduated into a small correction to the strong resistance level of 97.00.







    Direction
    Period
    Expected price dynamics
    Price movement corridor
    ↑↓
    1 day
    ≈145 pips
    Max. 98.60
    Min. 94.00
    USD/JPY technical analysis for 09.08.13
    The move to 97.00 was changed into a sharp pullback down, which may mean a continued bearish trend with the target at the support level of 95.00. In addition to the decline in the USD/JPY, the U.S. dollar is still weakening against the major currencies, like the EUR, GBP, AUD and the NZD.
    Alternative forecast
    USD/JPY technical analysis for 09.08.13
    Breaching up the resistance level of 97.00 will give the opportunity for short buying at 97.65. Moving to 97.65 will result in consolidation or a rebound to 97.00.

    Thursday, August 8, 2013

    Technical analysis EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY 8 August 2013

    AUTHOR: 





    EUR/USD
    It looks like the market has chosen the bullish forecast: the price returned to the resistance level of 1.3340/50 and is now testing the strength of this level. The pair is trading at around 1.3345/50. The indicators show the growth resumption. Obviously, this gives reason to expect that the price will reach the target at 1.3410/20. At the same time, a strong resistance in the current price area warns of a pullback down from the current levels. The divergence on the MACD is one of the signals confirming such possibility. Should the price cross the support of 1.3300 and consolidate below, this will indicate a change in the sentiment.
    GBP/USD
    The bearish move to the supports at 1.5300/1.5280 and 1.5240 resulted in a false breakdown. The price has quickly pierced at these levels, mentioned as the key levels on the way down. The subsequent growth resumption pushed the price up above the resistance at 1.5400/1.5390. Now the price is testing the level of 1.5520/30, mentioned earlier as the next target for rising. The indicators already show the bullish sentiment. Obviously, this situation can be considered as growth resumption; the next target is likely to be set at 1.5570/80 or even a bit higher, at 1.5610/20. Should the pair fall below 1.5380/1.5400, this will open the way for a move down.
    USD/JPY
    The support at 97.60/70 did not resist the bearish pressure. The price continued to fall and is now trading at 96.30/40. The indicators clearly support a continuing decline. At the same time, the current price area shows many strong supports. One of such supports at the level of 96.00/10 indicates a high probability of stopping a fall down. This forecast is confirmed by smaller time frame (H1), where you can see the divergence on the MACD. Obviously, the price may start its consolidation in the range of 97.00/20 – 96.00/10. At the same time, the end of the move down can be discussed only after the price correction. Meanwhile, the bears will have enough strength to test the support at 95.50/60. Should the price rise above 98.20/00, this will signal the uptrend resumption.

    EUR/JPY Signal Update - August 8, 2013

    • 08 August 2013 10:08 AM GMT
    By: Fahad khaliq
    Update to yesterday's EUR/JPY short signal: the level of 130.14 was not hit and the signal expired at Midnight GMT yesterday.

    D20P FOREX SIGNAL 08 AUG 2013 RELEASED 01.26 GMT

    D20P BUY B GBP/USD 1.5448
    take profit 1.5468
    stoploss 1.5418
    DAILY20PIP.COM ADVICE : BULLISH MARKET AHEAD
    SIGNAL VALID FROM 6.00 GMT - 18.00 GMT

    Technical analysis for GBP/USD on 08.08.13

    AUTHOR: 



    The GBP/USD broke above a strong resistance level of 1.5385, which was the correction maximum (61.85 Fibonacci level from the high of 1.5750) and approached the weekly downtrend line at 1.5525, amid increasing volume.








    • Direction
      Period
      Expected price dynamics
      Price movement corridor
      ↑↓
      2 days
      ≈230 pips
      Max. 1.5800
      Min. 1.5200
      GBP/USD technical analysis for 08.08.13
      The possibility of further rise is very high, amid positive correlation on the EUR/USD, which also continues to rise, while the bullish signals remain dominant. First, the pair should cross the downtrend line 1.5525 to open the way to 1.5585. Should the pair cross the resistance level of 1.5585, this will support short-term buying with the target at 1.5720.
      Alternative forecast
      GBP/USD technical analysis for 08.08.13
      Should the price kickback from the downtrend line 1.5525 or the resistance level of 1.5585, this will signal a return and a short-time reversal in the market. A bearish target will be set at the support level of 1.5385.

    Technical analysis for EUR/USD on 08.08.13

    AUTHOR: 




    The EUR/USD breached and fixed above the downward trend line and a strong resistance level of                        1.3300, which held back the price rise for over two weeks. 

                           
                                         







    • Direction
      Period
      Expected price dynamics
      Price movement corridor
      ↑↓
      1 day
      ≈130 pips
      Max. 1.3585
      Min. 1.3185
      EUR/USD technical analysis for 08.08.13
      Since the bulls have crossed the major obstacles, the bulls can easily raise the price to the nearest resistance level at around 1.3395. This level will be reached on declining volume, which may result in a deep retest with a price reversal. If the level of 1.3395 does not hold back the rise, further move up will lead the pair to 1.3420, 1.3460.
      Alternative forecast
      EUR/USD technical analysis for 08.08.13
      Should the pair return to the support level 1.3300, this will signal of a reversal in the bullish trend. The closest target for the fall is the support level of 1.3240 in the uptrend channel; breaching below this level will open the way down to a strong support level of 1.3185.











    Tuesday, August 6, 2013

    TOP GLOBAL MARKET STORIES

    FX: Impact of US and CAD Trade, Where RBA wants AUD

    By Kathy Lien Better than expected U.S. economic data and hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Lockhart failed to provide much support to the greenback.  The U.S. trade balance reached its best level since October 2009 and yet the dollar barely budged.  Investors were not impressed that the trade deficit narrowed 22.4% to -$34.2 billion [...]

    TOP TRADE IDEAS

    Top Trade Idea for August 6th, 2013 – GBP/AUD

    The RBA has acted on the signals, this morning cutting its main cash rate by 25 basis points to a record low of 2.5% in an effort to stem the economic decline. This move should help to ease pressure on the domestic industry and also help to life miners out of the current slump particularly [...]

    GLOBAL MARKET COMMENTARY

    By Ilya Spivak
    Prices slipped below support-turned-resistance at 98.85, the June 3 low, exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 97.72. A further drop below that eyes the 50% level at 96.54. Alternatively, a move back above 98.85 eyes a falling trend line set from the May 22 swing high, now at 99.73.
    usdjpy

    Monday, August 5, 2013

    Forex Market Trends

    Forex Market Trends

    EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYUSD/CHFAUD/USDEUR/GBP
    Daily Trendupupdowndownupdown
    Weekly Trendupupdowndownupdown
    Resistance1.33701.538099.100.93600.89800.8760
    1.33501.536098.900.93400.89600.8740
    1.33201.533098.600.93100.89300.8710
    Support1.32601.527098.000.92500.88700.8650
    1.32301.524097.700.92200.88400.8620
    1.32101.522097.500.92000.88200.8600

    Turkish lira weakens after inflation accelerates in July

    ISTANBUL, Aug 2 (Reuters) - The Turkish lira weakened against the dollar on Monday after annual inflation neared 9 percent in July, boosting the case for further tightening of monetary policy.
    The lira was at 1.9333 to the dollar at 1430 GMT having hovered around the 1.9258 mark in the morning, before the July inflation data was released.
    Consumer prices rose 0.31 percent month-on-month last month, in line with a Reuters poll forecast of 0.30 percent, for a year-on-year acceleration of the inflation rate to 8.88 percent from 8.30 percent in June, the Turkish Statistics Institute said.
    The yield on Turkey's 10-year bond barely moved, inching up to 8.92 percent from 8.91 percent late on Friday in quiet trade ahead of an extended holiday starting on Wednesday afternoon to mark the end of Ramadan.
    The main Istanbul share index was up 0.24 percent at 74,211 points, slightly outperforming the wider emerging markets index which rose 0.14 percent.

    (Reporting by Dasha Afanasieva; Editing by Nick Tattersall and Stephen Nisbet) Keywords: MARKETS TURKEY/CLOSE
    (Dasha.Afanasieva@thomsonreuters.com)(+90 212 350 7051)(Reuters Messaging: Dasha.Afanasieva.thomsonreuters@thomsonreuters.net)

    Featured Chart

    Chart of the Day for August 5th, 2013 – USD/CHF

    By Ilya Spivak

    Prices broke higher, completing a bullish Falling Wedge chart pattern and exposing the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 0.9374. A push above this barrier targets the 38.2% level at 0.9465. Wedge resistance-turned-support is now at 0.9250, followed by a trend line set from February at 0.9235.
    usdchf

    Sunday, August 4, 2013

    Weekly Losses of Sterling Limited by Positive Fundamentals

    The Great Britain pound weakened this week against the US dollar and the euro, but losses were limited because of favorable fundamentals. The currency was also falling versus the Japanese yen, but managed to rebound by the weekend.

    Rates

    EUR/USD Dips as ECB Holds Rates

    The euro sank against the US dollar after the European Central Bank maintained interest rates and suggested that monetary policy will remain accommodative for a long time. The currency managed to gain against some other majors, including the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc.

    Saturday, August 3, 2013

    FEATURED ARTICLE

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    Market Trends

    EUR/USDGBP/USDUSD/JPYUSD/CHFAUD/USDEUR/GBP
    Daily Trenddowndownupupdownup
    Weekly Trenddowndownupupdownup
    Resistance1.32951.5200100.400.94500.89950.8820
    1.32751.5180100.200.94300.89750.8800
    1.32451.515099.900.94000.89450.8770
    Support1.31851.509099.300.93400.88850.8710
    1.31551.506099.000.93100.88550.8680
    1.31351.504098.800.92900.88350.8660